August 2009 \ Features \ After the Fall: The State of the Vintage Guitar Market

After the Fall: The State of the Vintage Guitar Market

Adam Moore

At the vintage market’s peak, guitars were one of the sexiest investments around. Now, two years later and 30 percent lower, what’s in store for the vintage market?


Premier Guitar August 2009

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Options abound on the Chicago floor.

The Future

Of course, the laws of supply and demand, and the dealer mantra of rotating stock, regularly tell us that these reluctant holdouts can’t last long. So, does that mean we’re now looking at an unparalleled buyer’s market in the vintage world? Once again, the answer likely depends on where you sit. If you’re buying vintage guitars as a straight investment (as a money-making proposition), it may be wise to keep an eye on that piece you’ve been waiting for a little longer, until dealers start adjusting prices downward even more to get pieces moving again. “We’ve still got guitars out at prices from a year ago that aren’t selling, so I think we’re going to reduce prices on our vintage stuff to make it happen,” says Rogers. “Everybody is going to do that until they start selling and until we find that happy medium.”

That said, players who have a real love for the instrument but found themselves locked out of the market in the past few years will find this an excellent time to take that step back into the vintage market. Depending on your guitar of choice, bargains abound: good Juniors and SGs are underpriced; Stratocasters and Telecasters are back within reach of players; and refins and repaired guitars are once again viable, affordable options for guitarists needing a “player” they can actually use. “Pricing is down across a lot of sectors of the market, and for the first time in a long time, musicians are buying gear again,” says Kevin Borden.

It’s the fact that musicians are actually returning to market that gives many dealers hope for the future. The passion is returning, and another generation of buyers can now have access to it. “It’s a great time to buy a guitar right now, the best time I’ve seen in 20 years,” says Jim Singleton. “With so many of them on the market, you can pick through them, find the best one and still get a good price.”

“I think it’s great. People are loving it, and we’re having a good time too, because now we can go to a show and buy things at a fair price and sell it at a fair price and everybody walks away happy,” says Rumbleseat’s Eliot Michaels a few days following the Chicago show, when asked about his impressions of the post-correction market. “We used to go to guitar shows with exorbitant amounts of money and walk away with one or two guitars. Now we can go to a show with a small wallet of money and walk away with a lot of guitars, and actually be able to sell them to people. Everybody’s happy.”

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Comments

(27 comments) display by
UsernameComment
Mike L
on 04/26/2013
To whom it may concern, Are you able to tell me what kind of banjo I have by the pictures since it does not have a name on it. It does look US and has a serial number on it. It also looks like it was made in the 1960's - early 1970's. The head stock looks like a Vega to me. Thanks, Mike
JonJon
on 03/30/2013
One trend I see happening is the rise of authorized "fakes" known as the custom shop guitar especially the {substitute famous artist name } model. These so called artist models rival the real thing... which astounds me. Also who care if its an extremely good fake because you can get an obvious Real thing that has be refinished for cheaper than the fake. Unbelievable that it seems people would rather spend on a big buck custom shop than a refin of the real thing... no kidding. For example a 68 les paul that has been refinished and routed for humbuckers that is confirmed real can had if your willing to wait for a good deal for cheaper than a top end artist custom shop. It appears that the vintage guitar market follows the housing market and as houses appreciate in value so will vintage instruments especially the "All Original".
Johnny Townsend
on 03/18/2013
I have a 1976 Gibson Firebird Bi-centennial in the original case. Can you tell me if it is worth hanging on to?
Vik
on 02/07/2013
Alright, I've read a bunch of these comments and it's clear to me that most of you guys haven't really played a vintage guitar. I own a Les Paul Junior SG from 62 and a Fender Mustang from 64. I also own Les Paul Standard, Custom and a Buscarino solid body Strat. The vintage guitars have a quality of 'openness' to the frequency spectrum that just can't be described in words. It might be the ageing, the superior wood or whatever...I don't know...I do know what my ears tell me that they are a lot more responsive to the way I play and are just more open yet focused on all the right frequencies...this is just my experience with the few guitars I own. To me, If I spend a couple grand on a vintage and get to play it for the next 10 years and maybe make my money back in the end, I'm happy.
Fed UP
on 01/09/2013
Thanks to all the posters noting the painfully OBVIOUS. Aging baby boomers that played these in garage bands during the 50's through the 70's will soon be heading for the exits like somebody yelled Fire! in a crowded theater. Given the only thing younger generations have known was Guitar 'Hero' and are otherwise tone deaf, if you missed the big run-up, you'd be better off stocking up on those! Can't tell you how tired and distressed I am over the sheer amount of *counterfeits* out there and I'm not just talking guitars. AMPS have gotten into the act as well. My local tech tells me he's seen quite a few "All Original!" Fender Twins etc. that have parts from different eras and DUST blown in to give it that cobweb 'look' about them. Totally ridiculous. Once the elephant in the room crushes all these speculators I'll be laughing. But I won't be BUYING. Best of LUCK there infestors. You took the simplest, most beautiful object and memory anyone should be able to embrace and turned it into every bit the circus HOUSING became.
ken
on 01/08/2013
The people that say there are more vintage guitars for sale that were ever made, so theres alot of fakes, Thats ridiculous, you cant fake a 58 Les Paul Tv, it takes YEARS for the grain to seep into the lacquer, the hardware just isnt made like that anymore. ALOT of people sell their gear, ebay has provided an outlet for volume vintage trading. Ive owned my guitars before they were worth anything. THEY ARE REAL and IM NOT ALONE! REPUTABLE LONG TIME DEALERS DO NOT TRADE FAKES....F@#$ Ed Roman
joseph
on 09/11/2012
a bit crazy for vintage myself, it's merely what i grew up with, and why not love what sounds so good? but one thing they can't fake is vintage smell. from having owned the real deal, it's very distinct in each factory, martin, gibson, fender, they all have their peculiar scent, which is so emblematic....and so hard to duplicate.
George
on 07/10/2012
The guitar market was like all other markets - inflated. When the credit was taken away everything fell. Are they coming back? Nope. By the time the economy comes around we are faced with what we all knew was coming - a new generationt hats doest really care. The people who pay big $ for vintage are growing older, they will soon be downsizing like every generation before them did at the age. More guitars will hit market. Plus there are a few people out there making "vintage" guitars so well its better to buy them the real deal sometimes. However there are plenty of people so uneducated event eh bad copies get sold. The markets are flooded and will become more flooded. Great for buyers.
Yerder Tootin'
on 06/16/2012
I've owned and played much vintage gear during my 45+ years as a musician, both amateur and professional. I still own a few vintage guitars and amps. I would think I've got a pretty good idea of what good and bad is in terms of guitars, both old and new ones. The feel and sound of a good guitar is subjective at best and I don't feel anyone is really qualified enough to be considered an 'expert' on what are guitars or amps are the 'best' or 'magical', as it were. You go by what you think sounds and feels right to you, not the opinion of wealthy collectors or dealers who have been dubbed 'experts' by themselves or others. The vintage guitar market is driven by hysteria over old guitars (and by people of my generation, unfortunately) that affects the prices of newer guitars as well. Priced one of the VOS Les Pauls or the 'museum' edition Martin acoustics lately? A magical instrument is one that appeals to you, the player, be it an old or a new one, not because some so-called expert has deemed it so.
JohnR
on 06/08/2012
To the "it is an illusion" and the other guy that cites CBS Fenders as being scoffed, and now valued. Apparently neither person has played vintage gear. That is painfully obvious in the latter - I have a CBS Fender and it is still a piece of crap compared to earlier stuff. Notice the massive value drop between pre and post - and even worse, post 1970. I don't consider anything post '70 in Fender or Gibson as "collectors". In fact, Fender hasn't made a guitar since '64-'65 changeover. Gibson hasn't replicated a '57-'60 Paul, thus it hasn't built a Les Paul since, just replicated. Don't even try to argue anything they drop is equivalent - again you probably haven't spent any time with the real one. I play R's and they are WONDERFUL guitars, but their relationship to a true Les Paul is only in looks. Sound and feel is so different you would swear Gibson never made the thing. It has nothing to do with "belief" or "cognitive bias" - go play a nice broadcaster, or '60 Paul on a hand-wired amp (in this case some modern amps sound even better - but they use old 'outdated' hand wiring and superior components to achieve it, imagine that.)



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